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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736102040801001201408465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points34
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
0Processor points12
16Net points4
16Algae points16
71Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
84Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.12.2
28.330.5
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
red by 10.0
8126
#19
29.11.4
23.024.3
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
Second
5144
#12
26.02.2
20.422.6
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
red by 7.7
4810
#35
18.31.4
16.217.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.9
End0.4
Third
7226
#30
19.42.2
14.016.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
red by 3.9
9241
#32
15.51.4
12.714.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed