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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487502040601001205860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
6Coral scored#9
23Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
33Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
58Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#25
23.30.3
24.124.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
blue by 5.3
858
#14
28.61.4
26.024.6
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
Second
16.30.3
11.111.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 1.6
9671
#11
17.91.4
18.717.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Third
7254
#33
9.50.3
11.111.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
blue by 7.6
5501
#13
17.21.4
16.815.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed