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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538602040601001201401607371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
44Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
14Foul points0
73Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.8
19.820.6
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
blue by 27.3
52.30.3
44.844.4
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Second
23.70.8
15.916.7
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
red by 8.2
9672
#31
15.40.3
15.915.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Third
5248
#16
22.00.8
15.916.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
red by 9.6
7658
#37
12.30.3
13.413.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed