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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7174204060801001201408874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
1Coral points7
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
60Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points12
88Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.4
25.126.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
red by 1.9
27.71.4
26.525.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
Second
8126
#19
29.11.4
24.325.8
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
red by 9.7
7226
#30
19.41.4
16.214.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
Third
9238
#38
11.51.4
9.811.2
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 5.1
9566
#36
16.71.4
18.617.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed