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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686202040801001201401606347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#5
31Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
39Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
63Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#12
26.00.2
22.622.4
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
red by 1.8
5152
#27
24.10.9
28.127.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Second
5676
#25
23.30.2
24.424.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
red by 5.8
8300
#26
17.50.9
17.116.2
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Third
4453
#22
16.80.2
12.212.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 7.2
7254
#33
9.50.9
11.410.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned