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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76672040601001209745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+40Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
62Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#1
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
97Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.52.8
41.143.9
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 20.0
6081
#10
32.51.5
34.633.2
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
Second
23.72.8
16.719.5
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
red by 8.2
9672
#31
15.41.5
15.614.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Third
9183
#29
14.52.8
10.012.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
red by 2.4
9203
#28
12.11.5
10.08.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed