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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466202040801007064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+6
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points0
70Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#13
17.20.6
15.416.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
blue by 11.1
3875
#24
28.21.0
25.726.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
Second
16.30.6
11.412.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 1.9
4810
#35
18.31.0
17.518.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.9
End0.4
Third
7256
#17
15.90.6
16.316.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Level
15.81.0
10.611.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed