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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42125010015020050115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+49
Endgame+59
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave9
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points28
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +24
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
32Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points6
50Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9671
#11
17.90.3
17.317.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
blue by 34.4
52.30.5
44.443.9
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Second
9241
#32
15.50.3
14.113.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End3.0
blue by 23.6
39.20.5
38.738.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
Third
7658
#37
12.30.3
13.112.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
blue by 8.4
5980
#15
20.80.5
19.418.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned