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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8549020406010012014013462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+70Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
20Coral scored#8
72Coral points27
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
24Processor points6
16Net points16
40Algae points22
112Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#4
9L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#0
31Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
134Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.14.6
30.535.2
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
red by 14.1
25.00.2
20.620.8
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Second
858
#14
28.64.6
24.629.2
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
red by 7.6
5623
#21
21.00.2
17.617.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
5248
#16
22.04.6
16.621.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
red by 12.3
9703
#34DQ
9.60.2
7.88.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed