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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5555405060706853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
55Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
68Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#12
26.01.5
22.423.9
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
red by 2.7
5676
#25
23.30.2
24.224.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
Second
9672
#31
15.41.5
14.115.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
blue by 3.9
7226
#30
19.40.2
14.815.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
Third
12.11.5
14.516.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 0.6
9238
#38
11.50.2
11.211.4
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed