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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91350501001509641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
65Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
18Foul points0
96Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.0
38.238.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
red by 18.2
5623
#21
21.00.4
17.818.2
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Second
3875
#24
28.20.0
26.726.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
red by 16.1
9203
#28
12.10.4
8.58.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
9183
#29
14.50.0
12.812.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
red by 5.0
7254
#33
9.50.4
10.410.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed