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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518701001505076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+32
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
5Coral scored#11
17Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
25Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points0
50Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9743
#18
18.90.4
15.715.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End1.4
blue by 20.2
39.10.2
35.235.4
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
Second
9671
#11
17.90.4
17.016.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
blue by 11.7
29.60.2
26.526.8
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
Third
8300
#26
17.50.4
16.215.8
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
red by 0.7
4453
#22
16.80.2
12.012.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned