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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94712040608012014010295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+9Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points47
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
18Processor points0
12Net points16
30Algae points16
73Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points2
102Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.1
43.945.0
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
blue by 0.2
52.51.7
43.945.6
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
Second
25.01.1
20.821.9
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
red by 9.5
9241
#32
15.51.7
13.815.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Third
5501
#13
17.21.1
16.017.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
red by 7.5
9703
#34
9.61.7
8.09.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned