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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616802040801001207247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
39Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
72Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.7
25.125.8
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
red by 3.6
5152
#27
24.11.3
27.225.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Second
5980
#15
20.80.7
18.919.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
red by 2.5
4810
#35
18.31.3
18.517.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.9
End0.4
Third
15.80.7
11.512.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
red by 3.5
7658
#37
12.31.3
12.811.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed