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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5974020401001201406364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points34
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
45Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
63Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#25
23.30.6
24.425.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
blue by 15.9
39.20.6
38.337.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
Second
8300
#26
17.50.6
15.816.4
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
red by 1.6
7256
#17
15.90.6
16.716.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
9241
#32
15.50.6
15.516.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End3.0
red by 6.0
7254
#33
9.50.6
10.810.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed