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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74662040601001201409683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+21Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points33
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
78Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
96Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.7
35.437.1
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
red by 9.5
29.61.2
26.827.9
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
Second
5623
#21
21.01.7
18.219.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End2.3
blue by 1.0
5248
#16
22.01.2
21.322.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
Third
15.81.7
12.213.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
red by 1.3
9183
#29
14.51.2
12.914.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned