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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72770501001502001769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +39
1Coral scored#8
2Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
2Total teleop41
Reef
0L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points12
17Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#27
24.13.5
25.922.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4
blue by 8.3
6081
#10
32.50.6
33.032.4
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
Second
5980
#15
20.83.5
22.318.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
blue by 1.2
5248
#16
22.00.6
22.421.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
Third
12.13.5
15.612.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 2.6
7254
#33
9.50.6
10.29.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed