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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775202040601001208857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
56Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
88Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.6
27.929.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
red by 0.5
8126
#19
29.10.5
26.927.4
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
Second
25.01.6
21.322.9
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
red by 10.5
9183
#29
14.50.5
14.014.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Third
4810
#35
18.31.6
16.618.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.9
End0.4
red by 8.6
9703
#34
9.60.5
9.19.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed