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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808640601001201408399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
63Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
83Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#24
28.20.2
26.126.3
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
blue by 10.9
39.11.1
37.138.2
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
Second
27.70.2
25.425.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
red by 4.0
23.71.1
22.423.5
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Third
5623
#21
21.00.2
19.920.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 3.5
8300
#26
17.51.1
16.417.5
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed