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Qual 752025 FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan
Red89
920312.1
600252.5
765812.3
Blue88
514426.0
923811.5
719739.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74830501001508988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+7
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
10Coral scored#15
36Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
89Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#2
52.51.5
47.4→48.9
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 13.3
7197
#3
39.20.7
37.6→38.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
Second
7658
#37
12.31.5
10.9→12.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
blue by 13.6
5144
#12
26.00.7
24.4→25.1
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
Third
9203
#28
12.11.5
10.6→12.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 0.6
9238
#38
11.50.7
10.8→11.5
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed