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Red215
86257.4
6637.3
776961.3
Blue159
24749.2
656625.5
661551.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192148100250215159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points14
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
25Coral scored#18
91Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#8
12Processor points18
24Net points32
36Algae points50
127Total teleop116
Reef
12L4#10
9L3#5
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#32
BargeRed +4
24Cage & park20
24Total endgame20
Penalties & totalRed +56
24Foul points0
215Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.4
60.661.0
Auto13.1
Teleop37.6
End10.6
red by 10.0
6615
#17
51.30.5
50.851.3
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
Second
862
#1
57.40.4
56.657.1
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 8.2
247
#4
49.20.4
48.749.1
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Third
66
#18
37.30.4
36.637.0
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
red by 11.8
6566
#26
25.50.4
25.125.5
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5