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Red178
86257.4
6637.3
776961.3
Blue130
24749.2
656625.5
661551.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193149100250178130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
22Coral scored#18
79Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
99Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#9
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points0
178Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.3
61.061.3
Auto13.1
Teleop37.6
End10.6
red by 10.0
6615
#17
51.30.0
51.351.3
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
Second
862
#1
57.40.3
57.157.4
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 8.2
247
#4
49.20.0
49.149.2
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Third
66
#18
37.30.3
37.037.3
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
red by 11.8
6566
#26
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5