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Red45
473722.0
817929.2
653815.0
Blue87
661843.4
829717.0
634423.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63702040801004587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
29Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
6Foul points0
45Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#27
29.22.3
26.524.2
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
blue by 14.2
6618
#12
43.41.4
31.933.3
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
Second
4737
#36
22.02.3
18.616.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.6
blue by 1.9
6344
#13
23.91.4
14.315.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Third
6538
#32
15.01.4
11.710.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.9
blue by 2.0
8297
#19
17.02.4
16.218.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned