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Red82
6637.3
24016.4
477933.8
Blue105
86257.4
877417.3
516722.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8087406010012014082105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
12Processor points12
8Net points28
20Algae points40
57Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
82Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#18
37.30.7
27.528.2
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
blue by 20.1
862
#1
57.41.9
46.948.8
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
Second
4779
#23
33.80.7
23.023.7
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End4.8
red by 11.0
5167
#11
22.81.9
13.915.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Third
240
#31
16.41.2
17.718.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End2.3
blue by 0.8
8774
#16
17.31.9
12.514.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned