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Red114
766018.4
722029.8
24749.2
Blue74
523918.9
377311.7
656625.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10761020408010012014016011474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points40
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
91Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
114Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#4
49.20.9
39.840.7
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
red by 23.6
6566
#26
25.50.1
19.319.4
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
Second
29.81.4
22.724.1
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End0.8
red by 10.9
5239
#21
18.90.1
14.014.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Third
7660
#33
18.40.9
17.618.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
red by 6.7
3773
#35
11.70.1
16.016.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed