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Red80
413024.3
5144.3
440537.4
Blue34
918221.2
509024.0
555522.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12070501001502008034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+48Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
44Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points2
80Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#7
44.33.0
38.335.3
Auto6.2
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 20.3
5090
#30
24.02.7
18.615.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End2.9
Second
37.43.0
30.227.2
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.9
red by 14.8
5555
#24
22.64.4
21.016.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Third
4130
#25
24.33.0
29.626.6
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
red by 3.1
9182
#34
21.22.7
24.521.9
Auto5.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed