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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51720204060801001203034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
4Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
30Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.2
19.718.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End5.0
red by 0.3
8728
#14
28.42.9
25.822.9
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End1.9
Second
9735
#29
14.41.9
12.110.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 10.4
5498
#20
24.91.7
20.218.4
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End0.4
Third
8124
#22
12.01.9
15.713.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End2.5
blue by 1.1
5263
#39
13.12.9
14.211.3
Auto1.3
Teleop9.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed