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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987602040601201401607567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
12Coral scored#6
42Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
75Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.31.1
50.449.3
Auto13.1
Teleop37.6
End10.6
red by 24.5
3641
#10
36.81.0
32.331.3
Auto7.2
Teleop24.4
End5.2
Second
9212
#38
10.81.9
17.215.4
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End0.4
blue by 17.5
8373
#28
28.31.0
21.320.3
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
Third
6057
#40
9.21.9
18.116.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 10.9
20.11.0
17.316.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned