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Red131
817929.2
656625.5
661551.3
Blue104
516722.8
6637.3
1034928.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7765050100150131104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
25Coral scored#16
90Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
116Total teleop86
Reef
12L4#7
8L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
131Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#17
51.34.3
24.528.7
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
red by 14.0
66
#18
37.31.6
25.927.5
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
Second
8179
#27
29.24.3
22.226.5
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
red by 0.7
28.52.7
14.717.4
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
Third
6566
#26
25.52.6
16.719.3
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
red by 2.7
5167
#11
22.81.6
12.213.9
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed