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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707740601001205990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+37
Fouls+31
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
38Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points0
59Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#25
24.32.7
26.623.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
blue by 4.5
28.80.9
18.519.4
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End5.0
Second
5090
#30
24.01.6
15.914.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End2.9
blue by 4.5
28.51.5
17.418.9
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
Third
5239
#21
18.92.7
14.111.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
blue by 6.6
6566
#26
25.50.9
19.420.3
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned