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Red56
634423.9
722029.8
377311.7
Blue44
812412.0
24016.4
60579.2
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62532030407080905644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+10Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
31Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
14Foul points12
56Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.82.5
24.121.6
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End0.8
red by 13.4
240
#31
16.42.8
18.916.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Second
6344
#13
23.91.5
15.714.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End7.0
red by 12.0
8124
#22
12.02.8
13.811.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Third
3773
#35
11.72.5
16.113.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
red by 2.5
6057
#40
9.22.8
16.213.5
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned