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Red111
24749.2
661843.4
877417.3
Blue35
473722.0
766018.4
921210.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11360020408010012014016011135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+76Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +63
16Coral scored#3
57Coral points10
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
79Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
111Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#4
49.21.5
40.742.2
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
red by 27.1
4737
#36
22.01.7
16.414.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Second
6618
#12
43.41.5
33.334.8
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
red by 25.1
7660
#33
18.41.0
18.517.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Third
8774
#16
17.31.5
14.415.9
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.0
red by 6.4
9212
#38
10.81.7
15.413.7
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned