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Red112
556723.9
440537.4
364136.8
Blue44
516722.8
553117.6
817929.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006420408012014016011244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+56Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
66Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
112Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.43.2
27.230.4
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.9
red by 8.2
8179
#27
29.21.5
24.222.7
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
Second
3641
#10
36.83.2
31.334.5
Auto7.2
Teleop24.4
End5.2
red by 14.0
5167
#11
22.80.9
15.814.9
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Third
5567
#15
23.93.2
24.828.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
red by 6.3
5531
#37
17.61.5
17.315.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed