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Red99
555522.6
24749.2
872828.4
Blue95
556723.9
549824.9
661843.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96852040601201401601809995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
67Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#6
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
99Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#4
49.20.6
39.239.8
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
red by 5.7
6618
#12
43.40.5
31.431.9
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
Second
8728
#14
28.41.0
24.825.8
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End1.9
red by 3.6
5498
#20
24.90.5
19.720.2
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End0.4
Third
5555
#24
22.61.0
20.021.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.4
blue by 1.3
5567
#15
23.90.8
25.426.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed