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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65892040801001201404250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+12
Endgame+6
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
5Coral scored#6
18Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
26Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#10
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points2
42Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#28
28.32.1
23.421.3
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
blue by 0.2
28.520.4
35.114.7
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
Second
6538
#32
15.01.3
13.011.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.9
blue by 9.3
4130
#25
24.33.1
32.729.6
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
Third
9212
#38
10.82.1
19.317.2
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End0.4
blue by 7.5
7660
#33
18.41.9
19.517.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed