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Red75
473722.0
872828.4
661843.4
Blue78
364136.8
722029.8
918221.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908970801001107578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
55Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#7
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
75Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#12
43.40.5
36.235.7
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
red by 6.7
3641
#10
36.80.0
32.532.5
Auto7.2
Teleop24.4
End5.2
Second
8728
#14
28.40.9
27.927.0
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End1.9
blue by 1.4
29.80.0
23.923.9
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End0.8
Third
4737
#36
22.00.9
18.617.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.6
red by 0.8
9182
#34
21.20.0
21.521.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed