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Red88
6637.3
817929.2
377311.7
Blue82
413024.3
661551.3
921210.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79830501001502002503008882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
44Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
26Foul points0
88Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#18
37.30.0
27.627.5
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
blue by 14.0
6615
#17
51.31.7
32.534.2
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
Second
8179
#27
29.20.0
23.223.2
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
red by 4.9
4130
#25
24.31.7
22.123.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
Third
3773
#35
11.70.0
11.611.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
red by 0.9
9212
#38
10.81.7
11.713.4
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed