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Red88
556723.9
812412.0
86257.4
Blue71
877417.3
652828.8
509024.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1175201001502008871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+23Teleop
+35Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
49Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points18
88Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
57.40.4
53.152.7
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 28.6
28.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End5.0
Second
5567
#15
23.90.7
28.828.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
blue by 0.1
5090
#30
24.00.0
15.315.4
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End2.9
Third
8124
#22
12.00.7
12.511.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End2.5
blue by 5.3
8774
#16
17.30.0
16.216.3
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned