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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626402040801001206189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
42Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points22
61Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#23
33.80.1
26.526.5
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End4.8
red by 5.3
28.50.6
19.720.3
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
Second
5531
#37
17.60.1
13.813.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End1.7
blue by 5.0
5555
#24
22.60.6
17.117.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Third
6057
#40
9.20.1
12.712.5
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 7.2
240
#31
16.40.6
16.216.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned