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Red61
377311.7
569520.1
918221.2
Blue93
872828.4
653815.0
440537.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5786020401001201406193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
40Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points0
61Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9182
#34
21.20.2
21.821.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
blue by 16.2
37.41.2
37.839.0
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.9
Second
20.10.4
17.517.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 8.3
8728
#14
28.41.2
27.929.1
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End1.9
Third
3773
#35
11.70.4
14.514.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 3.3
6538
#32
15.00.7
10.711.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned