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Red32
829717.0
921210.8
877417.3
Blue95
661843.4
523918.9
516722.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5482020401001201403295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +47
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
22Total teleop69
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points2
32Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8774
#16
17.31.6
17.415.7
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.0
blue by 26.2
6618
#12
43.41.4
35.937.2
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
Second
8297
#19
17.02.7
22.019.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.6
blue by 5.8
5167
#11
22.81.4
19.420.7
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Third
9212
#38
10.82.7
14.411.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End0.4
blue by 8.1
5239
#21
18.92.3
14.717.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed