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Red97
817929.2
837328.3
812412.0
Blue88
656625.5
553117.6
509024.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8258020401001201409788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
73Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#2
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
97Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#27
29.21.2
22.023.2
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
red by 3.7
6566
#26
25.51.0
20.221.2
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
Second
8373
#28
28.31.2
32.333.5
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
red by 4.3
5090
#30
24.01.0
14.915.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End2.9
Third
8124
#22
12.01.2
11.012.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End2.5
blue by 5.6
5531
#37
17.61.7
13.815.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed