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Red57
553117.6
440537.4
829717.0
Blue81
656625.5
872828.4
877417.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96840501505781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
6Coral scored#7
20Coral points24
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
24Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points22
57Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.42.0
39.036.9
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.9
red by 9.0
8728
#14
28.41.0
29.128.1
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End1.9
Second
5531
#37
17.62.0
15.513.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End1.7
blue by 7.9
6566
#26
25.50.6
21.220.6
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
Third
8297
#19
17.02.0
19.217.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.6
blue by 0.3
8774
#16
17.30.6
15.715.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed