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Red106
661551.3
526313.1
556723.9
Blue110
837328.3
509024.0
661843.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75101204060120140160106110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points4
17Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
73Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
106Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#17
51.32.8
37.340.1
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
red by 7.8
6618
#12
43.40.2
37.237.4
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
Second
5567
#15
23.92.6
26.929.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
blue by 4.4
8373
#28
28.30.2
33.533.8
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
Third
5263
#39
13.12.6
8.811.4
Auto1.3
Teleop9.2
End2.6
blue by 10.9
5090
#30
24.00.2
15.916.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed