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Red39
377311.7
973514.4
24016.4
Blue69
829717.0
652828.8
473722.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59702040801003969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#8
14Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
24Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points24
39Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#31
16.41.5
19.217.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End2.3
blue by 12.4
28.80.9
20.519.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End5.0
Second
9735
#29
14.41.5
13.512.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 7.6
4737
#36
22.01.5
20.118.6
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Third
3773
#35
11.71.5
17.416.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 5.3
8297
#19
17.01.5
17.716.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned