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Red53
60579.2
549824.9
766018.4
Blue97
812412.0
6637.3
5144.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510602040801201401605397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+48
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +38
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
36Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
53Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#20
24.90.1
19.419.2
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End0.4
blue by 19.4
51
#7
44.31.6
37.439.0
Auto6.2
Teleop32.0
End6.1
Second
7660
#33
18.40.1
22.122.0
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
blue by 18.9
66
#18
37.31.1
28.629.6
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
Third
6057
#40
9.20.2
10.810.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 2.8
8124
#22
12.01.6
12.213.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed