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Red121
817929.2
86257.4
973514.4
Blue124
24749.2
569520.1
1034928.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9895406080120140160121124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
76Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points0
121Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
57.41.0
51.252.3
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 8.2
247
#4
49.22.0
41.443.4
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Second
8179
#27
29.21.6
23.224.8
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
red by 0.7
28.53.1
24.327.4
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
Third
9735
#29
14.41.6
14.015.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 5.7
20.13.1
17.120.2
Auto3.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned