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Red77
918221.2
556723.9
837328.3
Blue100
364136.8
829717.0
523918.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98742040608012014077100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
42Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
77Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#28
28.30.8
33.833.0
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
blue by 8.5
3641
#10
36.82.9
36.239.0
Auto7.2
Teleop24.4
End5.2
Second
5567
#15
23.90.8
29.528.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
red by 5.0
5239
#21
18.93.1
17.020.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Third
9182
#34
21.20.5
21.621.1
Auto5.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
red by 4.2
8297
#19
17.02.9
17.220.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned