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Red89
24016.4
656625.5
413024.3
Blue86
477933.8
921210.8
526313.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776320401001208986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
74Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
89Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6566
#26
25.50.2
20.620.4
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
blue by 8.3
4779
#23
33.80.4
26.927.3
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End4.8
Second
4130
#25
24.30.2
24.324.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
red by 11.2
5263
#39
13.10.6
11.412.0
Auto1.3
Teleop9.2
End2.6
Third
240
#31
16.40.3
14.414.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End2.3
red by 5.6
9212
#38
10.80.6
11.912.5
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed