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Red102
60579.2
6637.3
24749.2
Blue129
553117.6
661551.3
661843.4
39%Model gave it61%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991066080120140160102129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+41
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
72Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#28
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
102Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#4
49.21.2
43.444.6
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
blue by 2.1
6615
#17
51.33.9
40.144.0
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
Second
66
#18
37.31.2
29.630.9
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
blue by 6.1
6618
#12
43.42.5
37.439.9
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
Third
6057
#40
9.21.8
10.612.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 8.4
5531
#37
17.63.7
13.517.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed